Berserk the Foolish Sage @berserkx33@witches.town

@KitRedgrave I got deservedly schooled on that one. It is good to learn new stuff. 🤓

@KitRedgrave You are right on that. Considering the possibility of picking the correct one first, it really makes sense you would have only correct choice remaining as the other door. You got me. I was thinking along the lines of 2 1/1000000 choices, but it is as you said

@KitRedgrave It works along the lines of the illusion of factors. The human brain is not good at interpreting chances, like guessing what is the correct exit on a road for the place where you want to go is not really going to have it's chance affect by how many exits you already passed through. Or how choosing 30 times before buying a single lotery ticket is not really going affect the chance of that ticket being the one with the prize.

@KitRedgrave But it is from the standpoint that elimination of null options affect the amount of correct choices. It being a single correct choice from the 1000000 doors is not really affected by telling me that 999998 where empty, because it was already info I was informed before taking the decision. So it becomes 2 choices in 1000000, where it is still only a single correct one.

@KitRedgrave I would pick the one I chose before. Since we are dealing with random chance, a 50/50 from a group of 1/10000 is still 1/10000 anyway. So trading or not, it would still be the same chance after all. So I will just go for it.

@KitRedgrave I would just stay with the one I chose. If I have a 50/50 chance, it is really no dmmfferent from the 1/10000